Underdog Battle Royale Picks: Week 10


If you’re anything like me, then week 9 of your fantasy season, or even just the NFL season in general, is a week that you would like to get out of your mind completely. There were times last week where I felt the league needed a hard reset, only for those thoughts to be confirmed later when I saw Elijah Moore and James Conner finish as the top scorers in the game. each of their positions for the week.

It’s true. Most of what Week 9 had to offer was bad, underwhelming football, which came to a head on Monday night when Bears linebacker Cassius Marsh was penalized for the referee hitting him.

You read correctly.

Either way, here’s the hope for a brighter future in the NFL, its product on the field and, of course, your fantastic teams.

Here are a few players I like ahead of week 10 of the Underdog Battle Royale tournament.

Week 10 Variance and Over / Under

  • Dallas (-9) v Atlanta – O / U 54.5
  • Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5) v Minnesota – O / U 52.5
  • Las Vegas (+2.5) vs. Kansas City – O / U 52
  • Washington (+9.5) vs. Tampa Bay – O / U 51.5
  • Green Bay (-3.5) vs. Seattle – O / U 49.5
  • New York Jets (+13) vs. Buffalo Bills – O / U 47.5
  • Indianapolis (-10.5) vs. Jacksonville – O / U 47.5
  • New England (-1.5) v Cleveland – O / U 45
  • Tennessee (-3) v New Orleans – O / U 44.5
  • Arizona (-6) vs. Caroline – O / U 44.5

Quarterbacks

Matt ryan, Atlanta Falcons

Both quarterbacks in that game are intriguing options in what is currently projected to be the biggest game on the slate, but Matt Ryan gets the nod, if only for his lower acquisition cost in the draft and the fact that he could still come out with a productive day in a game that could turn out like a shootout.

Over the season, Ryan is averaging a fantastic 17.8 points per game, but has high scores of 21.6, 28.5 and 29 points. Last week against the Saints, Ryan had a fantastic 28.5 points when he threw for 343 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions in Saturday’s 27-25 win.

Ryan has pitched for two or more touchdowns in all but two games this season, and should need to pitch a lot in this weekend’s game against the Cowboys. He could also be easy to stack with other Falcons teammates, given that editors aren’t currently paying for receiver Calvin Ridley’s draft.

Our rankings project Ryan as the overall QB14 of the week at a fantastic 17.1 points.

Carson Wentz, Indianapolis Foals

Next Sunday could be a complete and utter trap game for Carson Wentz and the Colts when they face the Jacksonville Jaguars. Heck, that was for Josh Allen and the Bills last weekend when Jacksonville beat them 9-6. But I like Wentz as a potential value game this weekend.

Wentz may never be able to shake the fact that he’s considered a meme quarterback by NFL watchers and fantasy players in general, but that doesn’t mean he’s been bad this season. Over the year, Wentz is averaging fantastic 18.2 points per game, but has two games over 20 fantastic points on his resume for the season.

Wentz threw two or more touchdowns in each of his last five games, and even managed to mix up a rushed touchdown against the 49ers in Week 7 when he finished the day with a fantastic 20.3 points (QB10).

The Jaguars are granting the 12th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks in their current state, and our ranking projects Wentz as the overall QB9 for this week with 18.7 fantasy points.

Back runners

Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys

The best time to go after Ezekiel Elliott is when the market seemed to deteriorate after several disappointing weeks. As Week 10 approaches against the Falcons, it’s safe to say that Elliott has reached “buy” territory for this weekend.

Elliott has averaged just 11.9 fantastic points per game in his last three games, despite averaging 20.3 chances per game in the same span. Now Zeke has come out early in the Week 9 loss to the Broncos with what has been classified as a knee bruise, but head coach Mike McCarthy has previously said he expects Zeke plays against the Falcons.

As it stands, Underdog is projected as the overall RB6 on the slate by Underdog at fantastic 16.0 points. Interestingly, our projections rank Elliott as the overall RB10 of the week, but at a fantastic 16.5 points. The galaxy’s brain fulcrum here would be ahead of Tony Pollard’s market in case Zeke is left out or sees limited snaps this week.

James conner, Arizona Cardinals

The Arizona Cardinals will be without running back Chase Edmonds for the next few weeks after Edmonds suffered a sprained ankle in the Week 9 win over the San Francisco 49ers. Following the injury, Sunday turned into a Turn Back the Clock night in San Francisco, as Conner gave us a fantastic vintage performance reminiscent of his 2018 season with the Steelers.

Conner finished as the overall RB1 of the week with 37.8 fantasy points thanks to a rush line of 21/96/2 and a receiving line of 5/77/1. For at least a week, Conner looked like the best running back in football.

Now Conner and the Cardinals face off against the Panthers, which our ranking suggests this is the fifth toughest encounter of the weekend. This makes sense given that Carolina is giving away the fourth-lowest fantasy points to running backs this season.

If Conner is able to enjoy another fantastic day, it could be attributed to Arizona’s commitment to lead the ball this season. The Cardinals are currently fifth in the league with an overall precipitation rate of 46%, and ninth in the league with a precipitation rate of 45% in neutral play scripts.

Our ranking projects Conner as the overall RB9 of the week with 16.5 fantasy points, while Underdog currently ranks him as the overall RB11. You might see him slipping into Battle Royale drafts multiple times.

Wide receivers

Michael pittman Jr., Indianapolis Foals

Colts second-year wide receiver Michael Pittman Jr. has now scored in three straight games for the Colts and has a 50/658/5 receiving line on the season with 77 targets. Pittman is currently the WR16 in fantastic points per game (13.5) and has averaged 19.7 fantastic points in his last three games.

He and Wentz appear to have developed a great connection with each other this season, which could continue this weekend against a Jaguars team that gives away the eighth-most fantastic points to wide receivers this season.

Pittman has worked all season for the Colts, averaging 5.6 receptions per game to go with 73.1 yards per game and 0.56 touchdowns per game.

What I like about this pick by Pittman is that our rankings projected him as the overall WR6 of the week at 15.3 points. The Underdog Fantasy rankings, which also set their default project order, rank Pittman as WR12.

CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys

If there’s one group of players I want to leave the Underdog Battle Royale Draft with this weekend, it’s the Dallas Cowboys wide receivers. As mentioned earlier, this game currently has the highest projected total for the weekend, and our rankings predict that CeeDee Lamb and Amari Cooper will finish in the overall WR12 and WR17 rankings for the week, respectively.

Lamb currently ranks as WR15 of the season with a fantastic 13.7 points per game, which is not surprising given how electric he has been throughout the year. He’s amassed over 100 receiving yards in three games this season, averaging 5.1 receptions and 79 receiving yards per game.

Atlanta is giving away the 15th most fantastic runs to opposing receivers this year, with teams posting 2.13 touchdowns per game against them – the third-highest number of touchdowns / gm allowed in the league.

Tight ends

Pat Freiermuth, Pittsburgh Steelers

Steelers rookie tight end Pat Freiermuth is quickly becoming a weekly staple at the tight end position in the starting / sitting leagues.

It is probably no coincidence that the Steelers lost wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster for the season in Week 5 due to a shoulder injury, and since Week 6 Freiermuth has averaged 6.7 targets per game, 5.3 receptions per game, 48.3 yards per game and 1.0 touchdowns per game.

Since Week 6, has been the overall TE2 with a fantastic 13.5 points per game, their biggest game of the year coming last Monday night against the Bears. In that game, Freiermuth caught five of six targets for 43 yards and two touchdowns, ending the day with a fantastic 18.8 points.

Now Freiermuth and the Steelers get their chance against the lowly Detroit Lions. Detroit has given tight end position the 11th lowest fantasy points this season, but our rankings have consistently projected it as the overall TE10 of the week with 9.2 fantasy points. After Kyle Pitts and TJ Hockenson are off the board in the draft, Freiermuth is the one I want next for the slate this weekend.

Dan Arnold, Jacksonville Jaguars

There aren’t many good, tight ends available on this weekend’s slate, with the Chiefs, 49ers and Raiders all playing Sunday night or Monday night. Mark Andrews and Mike Gesicki face off Thursday night when their teams collide in Miami, as we find ourselves looking for what’s left on the tight end this week.

A constant constant at the tight position lately has been Jaguars tight end Dan Arnold, who has become a prime target for rookie quarterback Trevor Lawrence since being traded to Jacksonville ahead of the Week 4 game. against the Bengals.

Over the past four weeks, Arnold has averaged 7.5 targets per game, which includes a high of 10 targets in Week 8 against the Seahawks. Arnold has averaged just a fantastic 6.8 points per game since joining the Jaguars, but has averaged 54.8 yards per game over the past four weeks.

The problem with Jacksonville is that they don’t score a lot of touchdowns, but Arnold sees enough volume to give editors confidence in his ability to squeeze into TE’s first 12 weeks in the second half of the season.

Our projections have Arnold as overall TE13 this week at a fantastic 8.2 points.


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