Underdog Battle Royale Picks: Week 13



The fantasy football playoffs are getting closer by the minute, as we prepare for Week 13 of the NFL season.

The weekly Underdog Fantasy Battle Royale tournament continues to run, but also be sure to check out the The Wild Card best ball tournament they recently launched, as well as their 2022 NFL Season: Sophomores + Juniors tournament.

The fact that these new tournaments are rolling out is the first sign that 2021 is drawing to a close, but we still have a few weeks to go into the Battle Royale tournament this season.

Here are a few players that I’m targeting in hopes of taking down Week 13.

Week 13 Variance and Over / Under

  • Atlanta (+11) vs. Tampa Bay – O / U 50.5
  • Cincinnati (-3.5) v Los Angeles Chargers – O / U 50.5
  • Las Vegas (-2.5) v Washington – O / U 49.5
  • Los Angeles Rams (-13) v Jacksonville – O / U 48
  • Detroit (+7) vs. Minnesota – O / U 46.5
  • Chicago (+7.5) vs. Arizona – O / U 46
  • Seattle (+3.5) vs. San Francisco – O / U 46
  • New York Jets (+6.5) vs Philadelphia – O / U 45.5
  • Houston (+9) vs. Indianapolis – O / U 45.5
  • Pittsburgh (+4.5) vs. Baltimore – O / U 44
  • Miami (-5) v New York Giants – O / U 40.5

Strategist

Justin herbert, Los Angeles Chargers

In what is tied for the second-most game-winning game on the slate, Justin Herbert and the Chargers need a rebound against the Bengals in Week 13. After a 4-1 start to the season, the Chargers are in need of a rebound against the Bengals in Week 13. dropped to 2-4 in their last six games, with their only wins against mediocre Pennsylvania teams (Philadelphia and Pittsburgh).

Herbert’s play has been shaky during that span, as he threw 11 touchdowns for seven interceptions and averaged just 20.4 fantastic points per game. His points per game total, which looks good on the surface, is largely inflated by two elite performances in which he totaled 31.6 and 34.3 points respectively. In his other four games, he scored 19.7 points or less, which also included games of 11.0 and 12.0 fancy points.

The Chargers continue to throw the ball at a high pace, with Herbert averaging 39.8 passing attempts per game. Herbert should be in contention for another high-volume day against Joe Burrow and the Bengals as our ranking projects him as the overall QB5 of the week with a fantastic 19.5 points.

Jalen hurts, Philadelphia Cream Eagles

I make that choice, but I will precede it with the warning that Jalen Hurts is suffering from an ankle injury. Offensive coordinator Shane Steichen shared on Tuesday that the team are preparing Gardner Minshew to start in case Hurts can’t play.

I will also say that if Hurts can’t play, Minshew becomes an intriguing player for this tournament, considering what we’ve seen from him over the years. It wouldn’t be crazy to think that a combination of Minshew, Devonta Smith and Dallas Goedert could cause significant damage to a dismal Jets defense.

But we’ll stay focused on Hurts.

Despite some recent struggles, Hurts has been exactly as advertised this season. He threw for 2,435 yards, 13 touchdowns and eight interceptions while rushing 122 times for 695 yards and eight touchdowns. He’s averaged 21.24 fantastic points per game over the year (QB6) and now has a Jets defense that is 14th in total points awarded to opposing quarterbacks.

Our ranking projects Hurts as the overall QB6 of the week with 19.5 fantasy points. If there’s any news later in the week that Minshew starts, I’d still be interested in picking up a flyer on him in the final round of draft. He could slip into the top 12 in a week at first.

To recover

Antonio gibson, Washington Football team

In Week 12 against the Seahawks, the football team gave fantastic players what they were looking for all season in Antonio Gibson. He recorded 29 carries and 111 rushing yards, a season-high, while drawing seven targets, a season-high, which he turned into seven receptions for 35 yards.

From a rushed point of view, Gibson has feasted on racing for most of the season. Over the past three weeks, he’s seen 19 or more carries in every game and has run for 270 yards and two touchdowns during that time. As of Week 10, Gibson has been the RB9 in fantastic points per game (16.1) and gets a clash against the Raiders that our ranking suggests as the third easiest RB clash of the weekend.

Underdog’s ranking isn’t as high on Gibson as we are this week. They project him for just 12.8 points on the weekend, while we project him as the overall RB8 with 17.3 points. The Raiders allow the 13th most rushing yards per game to opposing backs (96.6) and the fourth most receptions per game to RBs at 7.0 / g.

Boston Scott, Philadelphia Cream Eagles

It is possible that the Eagles RB1 Miles Sanders will miss Sunday’s game against the Jets. He left the second half of last week’s loss to the Giants with a lower-body injury and did not return, giving way to Boston Scott. He finished the week with 15 carries, a season-high, while rushing for 64 yards and a touchdown.

Scott has benefited from Sanders and running back Jordan Howard, both injured in this one, and there’s a chance Howard will return in Week 13. However, if Sanders and / or Howard are out next week , Scott is very much at stake.

In the past five weeks, Scott has scored 12.5 or more fantastic points in three of those weeks. He’s also seen double-digit runs in four of those five games and also has three rushing touchdowns.

Once again, the Eagles face the Jets this week. The Jets have given away the most fantastic points to opposing backers this season, which could create a prime spot for Scott, who could also benefit from more runs if the Eagles end up starting Minshew against Hurts.

The Eagles offense as a whole presents interesting value when it comes to their smooth game and potential injury substitutes.

Wide receiver

Adam thielen, Minnesota Vikings

Vikings wide receiver Adam Thielen has his nose for the end zone. He’s scored six TDs in his last six games and has 10 TDs this season.

In addition to his good score, Thielen also sees significant target volume, averaging 8.18 targets per game over the season. Over the past six weeks, Thielen hasn’t seen less than seven targets in a game and has hit nine or more targets in three of those games.

This weekend, Thielen and the Vikings have a familiar enemy in the Lions. Detroit allowed opposing receivers the ninth-lowest that year, but ranks 13th in WR targets per game (19.8) and 17th for WR allowed receiving yards per game (148.4).

The Lions have also faced a very soft passing schedule in recent weeks, with their last four games being against the Bears, Browns, Steelers and Eagles. Three of those four teams rank eighth or worse in passing yards per game, the best of that group being the Steelers, who threw for the 18th fewest yards per game (238.5).

Thielen gets a nice discount on the week from teammate Justin Jefferson, as Underdog Fantasy ranks second in wide receivers this weekend. Underdog ranks him overall WR6 on the slate at 13.2 points, while our ranking projects him to 13.3 points.

Van jefferson, Los Angeles Rams

Despite the general idea that the role of Van Jefferson would almost disappear in Los Angeles after the Rams signed Odell Beckham Jr., Jefferson’s role has instead remained intact for the past two weeks.

Part of this is because Robert Woods suffered a season-ending injury just days after OBJ’s signing, but Jefferson’s role with the Rams has been solid nonetheless.

In two games with OBJ, Jefferson has seen seven and nine targets, respectively, and has seen six or more targets in each of his last five games.

In the Rams’ Week 12 loss to the Packers, Jefferson netted nine goals, a season-high, which he turned into three receptions for 93 yards and a touchdown. During the year, Jefferson caught 33 passes for 580 yards and four touchdowns. He ranks 39th on targets (62) but has only caught 53.2% of his targets this season.

The Jaguars allow opposing wide receivers the 12th most fantastic points per game, putting Jefferson in contention for a potentially strong day. If his catch rate were to improve, we’d be talking about Jefferson in a very different way, as his volume suggests he’s capable of producing a lot more fantasy.

Tight end

George kittle, San Francisco 49ers

I’m a firm believer in the advantage that an elite tight end can give you in fantasy, and an elite tight end that has disappointed this season is 49ers tight end George Kittle. He missed weeks 5-8, but came back to week 9 and gave mixed results.

Returning from the Cardinals, Kittle posted a 6/101/1 receiving line on eight targets, but hasn’t gone over 50 receiving yards in the past three weeks, despite scoring. in two of those three matches.

Kittle could see an increase in production this weekend against the Seahawks, however, as offensive weapon Deebo Samuel is set to miss the next few weeks due to a groin injury he sustained in Week 11. .

The Seahawks have allowed the 10th most fantastic runs to tight ends this season, including the fifth most receptions per game (6.0) and 11th most yards per game (54.4) . Our ranking projects Kittle as the TE2 of the weekend with 12.9 points and suggests he has the fourth easiest game.

Foster Moreau, Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders tight end Darren Waller is seen week to week with a knee injury he sustained last week against the Cowboys.

This sets the stage for at least one start for Foster Moreau, who replaced Waller in Week 7, and secured a 6/60/1 receiving line on six targets, ending the day with a fantastic 15.0 points. (TE4).

Moreau has given us a surprising few weeks in his limited time in the league. As a rookie, he enjoyed a three-week spell in which he caught eight of nine targets for 100 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 8.7 points per game during that span. Last week against the Cowboys, Moreau caught just one pass on five targets for three yards, but has a great game this weekend against Washington, who allowed up the 13th most fantastic points on tight ends.

We know the Raiders love to aim for the tight final position and that Moreau is capable of producing some fantastic elite weeks when given the chance. As the pilot for the final round of Battle Royale drafts this weekend, Moreau might be worth the wait. Our ranking projects it as the overall TE12 of the week with 7.9 fantasy points.


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