It has been a tumultuous few weeks in the NFL as COVID-19 continues to rear its ugly head.
Two of my eight picks missed Week 16 due to landing on the reserve roster / COVID-19 (Tyler Huntley and Gabriel Davis) after optimistically thinking that betting on a backup quarterback and the WR4 d ‘another team would be making great games in what really feels like the longest season ever.
Thankfully, a few other games have had particularly good days, as the week hasn’t been a total loss despite teams rolling out Frankenstein rosters to some positions.
As Week 17 quickly approaches, let’s take a look at a few pieces that I love about this week’s Battle Royale contest!
Week 17 Variance and Over / Under
- Dallas (-5.5) vs. Arizona – O / U 51.5
- Cincinnati (+5) vs. Kansas City – O / U 50
- Baltimore (+3.5) vs. Los Angeles Rams – O / U 46.5
- New York Jets (+13) vs. Tampa Bay – O / U 46
- Washington (+3.5) vs. Philadelphia – O / U 46
- Los Angeles Chargers (-5.5) vs. Denver – O / U 45
- Buffalo (-14.5) vs. Atlanta – O / U 44.5
- Indianapolis (-6.5) against 44.5
- San Francisco (-12.5) vs. Houston – O / U 44.5
- Seattle (-7) vs. Detroit – O / U 42.5
- New England (-15.5) vs. Jacksonville – O / U 42
- Tennessee (-3.5) vs. Miami
- New Orleans (-7) vs. Carolina – O / U 38
- Chicago (-6) vs. New York Giants – O / U 37.5
Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams
The Rams are 11-4 this season and currently aren’t. 3rd seeded in the NFL playoffs for the NFC, but could still get the no. 1st seed overall by winning the last two weeks and having a few other things to do.
Quarterback Matthew Stafford and his team need to be at the top of their game to get there and have as much of a chance as any to face the Ravens. Our rankings suggest Stafford has the easiest game of all quarters on the slate this weekend, and projects it for 18.4 fantasy points (QB9).
Not only do the Rams need wins, Stafford himself could enjoy a rebound week after throwing for just 197 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions in last week’s win over Minnesota.
The Ravens recently gave Joe Burrow and the Bengals 498 passing yards and four touchdowns last week, and have a secondary so decimated by injury it’s hard to imagine everyone on the team. knows each other at this point.
Running back Darrell Henderson is also set to miss this week’s game with an MCL injury, which could open up more passing opportunities for Stafford, although alternate running back Sony Michel looked good when He was called. Still, I can’t do away with quarterbacks against the Ravens at this point in the season, so throw Stafford and company into some of your rosters.
Jalen hurts, Philadelphia Cream Eagles
Just two weeks ago against the football team, Jalen Hurts totaled a whopping 27.6 points (QB6) thanks in part to 296 passing yards and a touchdown, while he also added 38 more yards in the ground and two scores.
Now Hurts and the Eagles, who have a shot at making the playoffs this season, travel to Washington to face the soccer team again in Week 17.
The football team have been shaken up lately, having lost each of their last three games, all to NFC rivals East Dallas and Philadelphia. Their struggles finally came to a head on national television last Sunday night when they lost 56-14 to Dallas, as poor offensive play and bouts between its defensive members only added to the embarrassment.
Hurts has been one of the best fantastic quarterbacks of the season, currently as the overall QB5 of the year at 21.4 points per game. His elite on the rise only adds to a decent passing floor, as the second-year quarterback ran for 740 yards and 10 touchdowns while throwing for 2,930 yards and 16 other scores.
Washington looks like a crumbling team at 6-8 after showing up as a team ready to sneak into the playoffs. Philadelphia, meanwhile, is ready for a playoff berth and should play with added motivation against a disappointing defense. Our ranking projects Hurts to the overall QB5 ranking for the week with 20.1 points projected.
Jeff Wilson, San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers have been without rookie running back Elijah Mitchell for the past three weeks, and could be without him again in Week 17 against the Texans. It should be noted that there are reports that Mitchell “has a chance” to play in Week 17 making it a game to watch, but running back Jeff Wilson could be in a prime position if Mitchell sits down.
Throughout the offseason, the top ball draftsman has aggressively targeted this Week 17 game between San Francisco and Houston, in the hopes that a playoff team could be backed by potentially elitist offensive talent against a bad Texans team.
While some of these pieces could still function, more people were chasing Raheem Mostert and rookie Trey Sermon than they were Mitchell and Wilson. That being said, Wilson is an interesting piece without Mitchell.
Our standings project Wilson having the fourth easiest running back game this week, and in the three games Mitchell missed, Wilson totaled 53 opportunities for 232 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 12.6 points per game. over this period.
Quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo could also miss this game after suffering an injury in Week 16 against the Titans, whose absence this week could force the 49ers to rely even more on the run. Outside of some of the obvious best full backs, Wilson is an easy smash for me if Mitchell sits for a fourth straight week.
Devin Singletary, Buffalo Invoices
The Bills have had some running backs this season, but over the past five weeks, Devin Singletary has seen 12 or more carries in three of those games and has run 63 times for 257 yards and two touchdowns in that span while catch 13 more passes for 116 yards.
Singletary has found the end zone in each of the past two weeks and has averaged 16.2 points per game in that brief span.
Backing backs Zack Moss and Matt Breida have been nothing but afterthought during that span, and now Singletary appears to be in the line for another solid week against a Falcons defense that allows 120.9 rushing yards. per game (11th most).
Our ranking projects Singletary as RB11 of the week at 15.1 points and suggests he has the eighth easiest game of all running backs this weekend.
Jaylen waddles, Miami dolphins
Lately, Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa can’t help but target rookie wide receiver Jaylen Waddle. Once their Alabama teammates Tagovailloa and Waddle got together in Miami, and that reunion has led to some huge, fantastic success lately, especially for Waddle.
Waddle has totaled 10 or more targets in each of his last three games and rewarded that high volume with 28 receptions for 319 yards and two touchdowns while averaging 19.3 points per game against Underdog during that span.
Those who drafted Waddle also benefit from the fact that Miami has virtually no running games, as the Dolphins rank 30th in rushing yards per game (86.6) and 21st in run attempts per game ( 25.5).
Waddle is screened as WR10 on Underdog this weekend with 12.4 points, while our ranking projects him for 13.4 points despite his ranking in WR13 this weekend.
Ja’Marr Chase/Higgins T-shirt, Cincinnati Bengals
I couldn’t choose a receiver here, so I chose both.
The Bengals and Chiefs face each other this weekend in a game that makes a lot of sense as the Bengals have shocked everyone this season on their way to a 9-6 record and an AFC North title within their grasp.
Second-year quarterback Joe Burrow led two of the league’s best young wide receivers in over 1,000 yards with two games to go, and joined Tee Higgins 12 times in Week 16 for 194 yards and two affected (37.4 points). The rookie receiver took a proverbial “backseat” to Higgins last week, but still finished with seven receptions for 125 yards (16.0 points) on 10 targets.
This weekend’s game against Kansas City is currently set to be the second strongest game of the weekend with 50 points, which could signal some fantastic days for several offensive players on both sides.
I also love Chiefs wide receiver Tyreek Hill in this one, but I can’t help but want the Bengals wide receivers this weekend.
George kittle, San Francisco 49ers
It would have been fun to include Deebo Samuel vs. the Texans in this post (love him this week), but there’s a good chance you’d need a top pick in your draft to land Samuel in a spot. sensational this weekend. By all means, if Samuel runs into you in the first round, take him away.
However, one 49ers player who could be just as important to their offense this weekend and easier to acquire is tight end George Kittle, who is screened as the overall TE3 of the weekend on Underdog Fantasy and in our rankings. (10.5 points).
Kittle has provided many elite tight end weeks this season and had 425 receiving yards and three touchdowns in Weeks 13-15 before scoring just two receptions and 21 yards on three targets last week against the Titans.
Nonetheless, Kittle remains a star player in San Francisco’s offense. Despite missing three games with injury, Kittle posted a 65/871/6 receiving line and could squeeze into a 1,000-yard season with solid last two weeks.
Facing a disappointing Texas defense that has allowed the eighth-most tight-ended fantasy points on the opposing side this season, Kittle could be in line to finish as an overall TE1 in Week 17.
Dallas goedert, Philadelphia Cream Eagles
In Week 15 against the soccer team, Goedert had one of his best performances of the season, capturing seven passes, a season-high, for 135 yards (also a season-high) of nine targets (another high of the season).
Goedert has enjoyed the breakout season we all hoped to be heading into 2021 and has 50 receptions for 759 yards and four touchdowns, which included over 100 straight weeks of yards in Weeks 13 and 15.
The football team have surrendered the 15th most fantastic points on opposing tight ends this season, but our rankings like Goedert ahead of his rematch against Washington, projecting him for 10.2 points (TE6) on 4.6 receptions for 60.2 yards and 0.3 touchdowns.
If I’m unable to secure one of the tight ends of the elite on this weekend’s roster, Goedert is an easy pivot for me considering what we’ve seen him do against Washington there. barely two weeks ago.